Conjectural variations and evolutionary stability: A new rationale for consistency∗

نویسندگان

  • Wieland Müller
  • Hans-Theo Normann
چکیده

Adopting an evolutionary approach, we explain the conjectural variations Þrms may hold in duopoly. Given conjectures, Þrms play the market game rationally. Success in the market game determines Þtness in the evolutionary game. We show that the unique conjectures which are evolutionarily stable are consistent in that they anticipate rivals’ behavior correctly.

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تاریخ انتشار 2002